Ugo Humbert vs Denis Shapovalov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Denis Shapovalov's recent second serve performance is slightly less effective than Ugo Humbert's, with a win rate of 45.57% compared to 47.56%. Could this give Humbert an edge?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Shapovalov appears stronger, capturing 44.49% of points, while Humbert secures 41.3%.
• Shapovalov outperforms Humbert in returning first serves, achieving a 25.18% success rate against Humbert's 22.81%.
• Analyzing how they fare under pressure, Humbert has saved more breakpoints (59.61%) compared to Shapovalov (52.38%).
• Shapovalov has a slight advantage in the overall win percentage over the last year, winning 62.5% of his matches, as opposed to Humbert's 57.89%.
• Shapovalov's best surface is indoor hard courts with a 62% win rate. In contrast, Humbert excels on hard courts, registering 65%. Which surface is this match played on?
• Both players have primarily competed on the Main tour, with Shapovalov showing a higher win percentage at 72.41%, against Humbert's 60.87% success rate.
• In direct head-to-head meetings, Shapovalov leads with 3 wins to Humbert's 2 out of 5 encounters, and they are evenly matched in set wins at 6 each.
• Shapovalov has been more successful in past deciding set battles against Humbert, winning twice when matches have gone the distance.
• In tiebreaks, Shapovalov also holds an advantage, winning 2 out of 3 against Humbert.
• Shapovalov has faced higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 85.89, while Humbert's opponents averaged a rank of 61.16.
• Over the last year, Shapovalov won 53% of deciding sets compared to Humbert's 33%, suggesting better performance under high stakes.
• If the current form within this event is a factor, it’s important to consider recent performances for additional insights not covered here.
• Shapovalov has shown greater efficacy in converting breakpoints recently, with a conversion rate of 31.78% versus Humbert's 28.3%.

Editorial Prediction (June 17, 2025, UTC):

As Shapovalov and Humbert prepare to face each other again, various performance metrics provide intriguing insights into who might have the upper hand.

While Humbert shows a marginally better second serve point win rate, Shapovalov counters this with superior returning ability, particularly on first serves.

Pressure situations seem to favor Humbert slightly, with better breakpoint saving stats, yet Shapovalov often excels in deciding sets, as evidenced by their head-to-head record.

Surface preference could play a crucial role, and if the match occurs on a hard court, Humbert's historical success might give him an edge.

However, given Shapovalov's track record in past encounters and his stronger recent performance trends, he is likely to emerge victorious in this matchup.